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Melbourne Cup Power Rankings 2022 Edition 1 - Post Nominations

Updated: Aug 27, 2022

Welcome to the Melbourne Cup Power Rankings Edition 1 - Post Nominations early August. Over the course of the the net few months, I will be releasing a top 10 power rankings heading into big races, in this case, the Melbourne Cup. However it is worth noting, this will be the last one as the Caulfield Cup, while a big race is very similar to the Melbourne Cup, just slightly inferior. At this stage, Duais and Montefilia would be my top two seeds, followed by an on-pace lightweight, Australian hopeful (not sure who that would be yet). Let us get into it.

10. Sheraz ($51 on TAB)

Sheraz kicks us off here. A genuine two miler but probably lacks the ability to compete with the best. Can still run a top 8 here like Selino last year.

Last Start: 2nd in the 2022 G1 Sydney Cup

9. Grand Promenade ($51 on TAB)

A horse who I have stated multiple times had easily the toughest run last year but I do question his ability beyond 2400m. However the stable are saying this is the target so if he is a genuine two miler, he will move up on this list but my gut at this stage says he is not.

Last Start: 7th in a 2022 Open Handicap at Sandown

8. Loft ($15 on TAB)

Loft comes in at number 8 who I believe was purchased by Kheir. Has a strong staying profile overseas but I do question the talent he has beat. This years field will have more depth than last year however but the top end quality probably is not there. I could be underrating him.

Last Start: 1st in the 2022 G2 Belmont Gold Cup

7. Duais ($15 on TAB)

A great local hope but probably carries 55.5-56kgs. This will also be her fifth start of the prep where see seems to normally hit her peaks 3rd and 4th up. A true WFA horse though which there are not many in this field but I believe she would be better suited to a Caulfield Cup.

Last Start: 7th in the 2022 G1 Queen Elizabeth Stakes

6. Montefilia ($26 on TAB)

Like Duais, probably carries around 55.5-56kgs but she has carried weight well as a four year old and is probably better suited to two miles but that is speculative at this stage. A WFA horse but probably not quite as brilliant as Duais. Also probably better suited to a Caulfield Cup though.

Last Start: 8th in the 2022 G1 Queen Eilzabeth Stakes.

5. Hoo Ya Mal ($15 on TAB)

At 5 we have many peoples tips in Hoo Ya Mal but I am skeptical. Second in the Derby but Westover failed against Europes best miserably, admittedly some very good horses. Trainer originally had queries around the Derby trip so 3200m might prove to be a bridge too far. St Leger will be more telling and personally, I think the Caulfield Cup would suit more.

Last Start: 3rd in the 2022 G3 Gordon Stakes

4. Spanish Mission ($15 on TAB)

Spanish Mission is probably the most proven two miler currently racing in Australia pushing Spanish Mission to the brink and running third behind two very good horses last year. His autumn was fine considering they were running him below his best trip. Would be one of the higher weights still and would want it dry.

Last Start: 9th in the 2022 G1 Tancred Stakes

3. Realm Of Flowers ($51 on TAB)

A weird selection to have so high, I know but her run last year in the Ramsden was freakish off the back of a Sydney Cup run where she was on the inferior ground. She does prefer it wet which might be a problem hoping for a wet track come November in Melbourne but has ability. Her first up run was merely average but the stable did say it was a fitness run. Next start will be more telling.

Last Start: 11th in a 2022 Open 1800m Hcp at Randwick

2. Cleveland ($26 on TAB)

I only decided to include one of Lloyds overseas horses as I am most confident about Cleveland making the trip. He beat Coltrane who was not far off the big three of European staying racing. I do not think he is the level of Twilight Payment but he may not have to be to win this year as this field seems weaker than 2020.

Last Start: 2nd in the 2022 G3 Ballyroan Stakes

1. Deauville Legend ($18 on TAB)

Incredibly progressive horse who seems to be improving at a rapid speed. Bon Ho has top seeds heading into the spring for the biggest race in NSW and the biggest race in Vic/Aus. Won over 2600m so more confident he can get the trip compared to others.

Last Start: 2nd in the 2022 G3 Gordon Stakes

I want to hold off on a few internationals such as the Coolmore brigade as I am unsure as to which ones will come but I do know they will send some. I am surprised Charlie Appleby did not nominate anything for the race like a New London or a Secret State, both of which would have been solid chances. Get Shirty is one who would make the top 10, but I am unsure if he comes. A few of the other internationals like Grand Alliance I do not think are good enough at this stage but that will change over the coming months. Joseph O'Brien has plenty as well that Lloyd owns or that may make the trip like Gear Up.

As for the Australians, I think Knights Order struggles running anti-clockwise but if I am wrong, deserves to be in the top 10 and Daiquansweet Junior is also a decent local chance just outside the top 10. Point Nepean while having a slot, I do not think won a strong rendition of the Ramsden and originally, Williams had him pencilled in as a 2023 chance. Alegron is our bets 4yo chance and appears to be every bit of a two miler as it gets. Another one I would like to highlight is 2019 winner Vow & Declare who has had some nice jump outs, particularly his latest.

There are the power rankings for the Cup post nominations. Edition two will come out once weights drop around early to mid September so stay tuned.

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