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Racing Rundown 03/09/22

Welcome to the review for last weekends racing and our first seriously profitable weekend. I will take a look at the major races, the main two tracks and anything around the world that I deem fit.


G2 Feehan Stakes

Mr Brightside was beyond impressive winning this and appear to be a genuine chance in a Cox Plate, maybe even the best chance. Inspirational Girl returned very well and could be a chance in the Turnbull, presuming SW+P favours her. Spanish Mission also appears to have turned very well and will be one of, if not the best local chance but weight will not be on his side with the quality of the field.


G2 McEwen Stakes

A very strong race which I am tipping to be a strong form race. Again, tipping another second but getting the quinella right. Rothfire is one serious horse, probably a top 6 sprinter in this country, maybe higher and to win first up when Zoustyle seemed to be more set for this and had the better run in transit. ROthfire should resist the temptation of the Everest and go Moir, Manikato into the VRC and try pick up 2 or 3 G1s along the way. Coolangatta was brave sitting two wide on the quick tempo and looks to have came back well. The Inferno ran on really strongly. In The Congo was a forgive sitting 3 wide on speed and was never in it.


G2 Tramway Stakes

While I did tip Converge, the way the track was playing, you could just tell Zaaki was going to win and he very much did win and won well enough but I will not be getting carried away by this. His Queensland form was average and had all the bias of the track here. Icebath was a very good second and will be hard to beat in a wet Epsom. Nimalee was game enough for 3rd, as was Profondo in 4th who does not normally like the track. Converge was only fair for 6th and Clark should have pushed harder for a front position. Also would want it drier.


G3 Concorde Stakes

I cannot believe the support the market was giving Andermatt to beat Eduardo. Eduardo is the second best sprinter in the world (if you ignore Classique Legend) and one of the worlds best horses but the market gave him no respect against a Benchmark 90 horse. Eduardo brained them and is a serious chance to beat Nature Strip again in the short. Athelric however has came back in good order. Handle The Truth would be one of the better chances in the Kosciuszko. Malkovich was meh as was Zapateo. Shelby Sixtysix was disappointing.


Rest of Moonee Valley

Castillan had the most consistent form and it makes sense that he would've won. Major Beel was a bit unlucky and probably wins at a track with more room. Sebonack is still trying to find room though. The same can be said about race two where the horse that mapped well won, beating my tip who probably would've been suited by a longer straight. He is running well though and will likely get my tip next start. Again, another horse who I respected to map well beat the horse that I tipped who again, would have been suited to more room (Millane). Shalaman won by a neck to Meridius who ran very well. Troach also ran well here and landed the trifecta (shame I did not back it myself). Revolutionary Miss was also far better here. However, where did Aysar come from? Been running very averagely and came from nowhere here. Corner Pocket will be better over further and Enchanted Heart seems to be running quite well. The first 4 here (not in order) but was not expecting Military Expert to win the way he did. Uncle Bryn and So Si Bon were both solid as usual. Pounding won to finish off the card.


Rest of Randwick

I actually won a highway tip. Only took 6 weeks and she only just won. Navajo Peak won the midway. Sneaky Page won race 3 and by now, a pattern was starting to develop and when Cadre Du Noir cantered in against them by like 4L you could see there was a pattern. Araphao was solid in second and think Realm Of Flowers showed plenty of merit in her run, carrying more weight and was strong through the line. Wants every but of 3200m and next start will be more telling for her but I do believe she is a live cup chance. Typical that North Star Lass won considering the race but Willinga Beast was solid. She's Extreme was very good for 3rd based on her running position and suggests she has came back well. Paris Dior was good enough in fourth. Russian Conquest hates the wet and was disappointing. Once Montefilia was scratched and the way the track was playing, I though Knights Order may be good enough to win and he was. You just had to find the rail and lead and you won, was that simple. Numerian was game enough for second and Benaud was going really well for fourth. He has turned up in super order this prep and has a group win waiting for him. Surefire was fair for 5th. Alegron returned fairly. Hell I Am and Kiss The Bride won the final two.


Around the Grounds

None in Australia but on Fathers Day, we potentially witnessed one of the best performances ever by a potential all time great. It is a shame he will likely retire after the 7 start but he will likely be 7-0 by then. 20 Length against a very handy horse in Country Grammar is absolutely absurd. What is interesting though is Makybe Diva's Aus Cup win was faster. Flightline is a freak though.


Betting Strategy

MV R4: Mr Brightside 1 unit win (1st)[Return: $33]

MV R8: So Si Bon 0.25 units win (3rd)

Rand R1: Opal Ridge 1 unit win (1st)[Return: $50]

Rand R4: Realm of Flowers 0.25 units win, 0.75 units place (3rd)[$46.5]

Rand R5: Eduardo 1 unit win (1st)[$54]

Rand R6: In Secret 1 unit win (Scratched)

For $20 units, that was $85 outlaid for $183.5 return. We are also coming closer to profits again which is always nice.


Weekly Outlay: $85

Weekly Return: $183.5

Weekly Profit/Loss: +$98.5


Seasonal Outlay: $575

Seasonal Return: $525.5

Seasonal Profit/Loss: -$49.5

Seasonal ROI%: -8.6%


Tipping

Caulfield: 2/9 (7/45)[7 tips placed, 4 second choices won]

Randwick: 2/10 (7/50)


Lessons from the meet

- Even Randwick chucks up biased tracks.

- Do not want to turn wide at Moonee Valley, the bend is brutal.

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