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The Racing Rundown - 17/09/22

Geez, what a weekend Saturday the 17th of September 2022 was. Some real stars on show here strutting their stuff and a few very promising types going around. The blue army were also out in full force. Let's jump into it.


G1 George Main Stakes

Anamoe has now brought his tally up to 5 group 1s (even though they are a dime a dozen here in Australia). The win itself was nothing special IMO, nothing of a champion but hearing that he was 3/5ths lame (quite serious) after the race really adds merit. It would explain why he looked a bit dour. What impresses me most about him is his ability to settle on speed or out the back. Just where he needs which is awesome for a stallion. Icebath has a big race win waiting for her. Maybe the Epsom if it is wet. Hinged ran really well and seems to lap up this ground. Montefilia has gone really well IMO. Not normally a notable first up performer but hit the line very well. Is now my top seed for the Caulfield Cup. All of the beaten brigade want better ground however I need to single out Duais. After a solid first up run, she looked very dour here. Ground is not as much as an issue for her as it is for the others that were beaten but she had clear air, received a good ride and did not let down. She normally hits her peak 3rd and 4th up but that run did not build on her first up go at all.


G1 Rupert Clarke Hcp

Callsign Mav wins here and I believe is now a 3 time G1 winner (may be 4). He was super first up and was probably overs heading into this but he surpassed my expectations and we as racing fans have been underrating him. I Am Superman is one of the bigger cats in Australian racing but another good run. Tuvalu huge here and right on song for the Toorak Hcp. Laws of Indices good. Buffalo River performs better with a more economical run. Dalasan solid, I hope he finds his G1. Bankers Choice will be better at the mile. The whole field were solid here but Showmanship main disappointment. Graceful Girl would not have handled the heavy.


G2 Tea Rose Stakes

Zougotcha franked the In Secret form winning here in nice fashion. Probably does a bit better if it jumps cleaner. What I love about JMac is that while sometimes the horses do not jump for him, he never panics and finds a good spot for them and finds an opening at the straight. Madame Pommery good in second. Wolverine, North Star Lass and Willinga Beast all solid. I must say this season, it was already known heading into the season but the Fillies are superior to the Colts.


G2 The Shorts

Nature Strip missed the kick, was forced to settle in the field a position that I am not sure he has won from in recent time and I was seriously worried for him. Eduardo also happened to ping the start and it looked as if it would be Eduardo's day again but he keeps on impressing me with age. He has now proven he can settle in a field and win but he is far from a lock in the Everest for mine. Overpass was huge here and franked his trial form. Lost & Running is a serious chance in the Everest off that. Extra 100m suits completely. If Eduardo could not beat Nature Strip here, then he will not beat him in an Everest. Mazu ran to his level in my opinion and Masked Crusader is a chance in the Everest again. Andermatt was backed again and disappointed again. Shelby Sixtysix was not good again. Needs it heavy 10 to be competitive at this level I'd say. Classique Legend pulled up lame again. His 3rd in a row from as many starts. I hope he can find his best again but each time he does, the more unlikely it becomes he ever does. One of the biggest what ifs of Australian racing in some time.


Caulfield

Unique Artist won reasonably well against a moderate field. Fengarada was disappointing. Lascars provided Godolphin with their first under the day dead heating with the outsider winnertakesitall. Xtravagant Star needs a dry deck. Pride of Jenni looked really handy here. Think I've been overrating Zouzarella. Cyclone Sally needs to lead on a heavy 10 to produce her best. Aft Cabin is a star which is a surprise to precisely no one. Really liked Amenable's run here and Meridius was good again. Osipenko disappointing but was right when the ground started to get testing. Sir Bailey good. Boogie Dancer looked quite dominant here. She's Lickety Split a complete forgive, received a disaster of a ride. Smokin Romans ran very well here and is showing a liking to wet ground. Uncle Bryn really good again, probably prefers it dry. Gold Trip solid with weight and off his setbacks. Chapada likes the 2000m, hard to believe he has only won 3 races. Emissary solid. Lunar Flare and Daiqiansweet Junior ran really well. Elephant disappointing but wants it drier. Sheraz a pass. Zapateo won well here back at easier grade. She is a super promising mare. Lavish Girl improved here. Chain of Lightning slightly disappointing I'd say but ground was cooked. She's All Class and Written Beauty both prefer it dry. Ingratiating capped off a strong day for Godolphin getting his first win in over a year. Curran ever consistent. Prince of Boom and Itsourtime good.


Randwick

Shalstar could be a promising type. Mahagoni was also good here, providing JMac with his first of 5. Kiss the Bride led the whole way and Grace of Harmony good again. Should find a win soon. Arnold only fair with Ita saluting at odds. Top Ranked has gone huge here but was helped by a very fast tempo to the eye. An Epsom Hcp chance. Cross Talk stuck on gamely but poor placement from the Waterhouse team not heading towards the Cameron. ALegron and Benaud continue to prove running close to Hitotsu is good form. Knights Order was really strong again as were Stockman and Surefire. No Compromise was also solid. Brigantine was good here and interesting how he is likely better over 1400-1600m. Larkspur Run good again and Zoushack good off a long return.


Betting Strategy

Rand R6: Zougotcha 1 unit win (1st)[$1.90]

Just the one bet here and my strategy worked well. Do not need to back a lot of horses, just back what you are confident in.


Weekly Outlay: $20

Weekly Return: $38

Weekly Profit/Loss: +$18


Seasonal Outlay: $670

Seasonal Return: $563.5

Seasonal Profit/Loss: -$106.5

Seasonal ROI%: -15.9%


Tipping Caulfield: 1/9 (10/63)

Randwick: 4/10 (14/70)









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