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The Racing Rundown - 27/08/22

Welcome to the rundown of a weekend of racing that certainly an entertaining one the best one of the season (as of yet). Unfortunately for my sake but about 1-2 people not named me read the articles but the website has had to take a back seat over the past few


Memsie Stakes

Personally found this more exciting than the Winx Stakes. Snapdancer led the whole way off a quick methodical tempo and she seems to be a serious galloper. The Everest could be an option but as I've made clear many times, there is no reason to go there this year if your horse is not named Nature Strip, Eduardo, Masked Crusader, Classique Legend or Mazu, especially if you are a front runner but she is certainly talented. As for the beaten brigade, Im Thunderstruck seems to have come back better and is now my second local chance in the Cox Plate behind Anamoe. Cascadian as solid as ever. Western Empire's run was a pass for my expectations but a let down on others. Dragon Leap beat his half brother for 4th in what was a surprisingly good run. Illation went that poorly there but I heard something that he may be cooked. Alligator Blood runs top 4 with more luck. Tofane disappointing in her send off run. Duais had a very deceptively good run with some strong closing sections. The Turnbull into the Caulfield Cup look to be two handy bets at this stage. She will be an EW chance at her next start as well.


Caulfield

As for the rest of Caulfield, Blake Shinn is back with a bang and 9 is already looking to be a conservative ranking. I Wish I Win looks a serious horse and franks the form of one I will get to later. Jacquinot is starting to become my enemy, cannot seem to catch him. Thought the step back in trip would not be good for Aft Cabin but once again, picked the wrong horse to upset him. Shooting For Gold and Generation probably found their level at LR/G3. Star Patrol the same. Chain of Lightning was the wrong mare who was 4/4. Was also proven right that Passive Aggressive is not Marabi good. She's All Class looked very good there and getting held up last start must have been why she did not finish off. Emissary did well to win and Sheraz looks to have came back in nice order. A cup smokey.


Rosehill

Frumos ran well again but no excuses here. Old Flame was trialling well and has came back in good order, as has Purple Sector. Fire not winning stings considering Chain of Lightning won a G3. Feel Fire has some improvement with manners to go and will be on him next start if at a similar grade. Kibou looked really handy winning there but a shame he is out of the spring. Golden Mile was solid. Williamsburg showing you do not want to get involved with that Sydney Heavy Track 2yo form but we learned that already. Sweet Ride did well and he was one that you could tell was not suited by the autumn tracks. Nettuno returned well here, could be one to follow and the stable were right with Swiss Exile. Spacewalk again needs to learn how to run straight (gelding op into the autumn if he cannot pick up a G1 but I guess he does trace back to Lonhro). I am surprised they are trying to settle Best of Bordeaux, he was a little unlucky in running and I would not give up entirely yet but his best attribute was leading so let him lead. I am willing to say that as he was a horse I predicted to have a drop off, that he probably will not match the levels he did in the autumn. Shades of Rose could be anything, maybe that anything is a G1 winner. A Galaxy could be perfect for her. Maotoi probably is around Benchmark 88 standard.


Others

Just have to highlight some performances at other tracks. Dalasan finally won a race and hopefully, he finds success at the highest level, albeit unlikely. I am annoyed I did not back her, completely forgot she was running but It's Me in Queensland shows she is back to some extent. However, the main horse we need to discuss is Imperatriz. She was unbelievably dominant and to think she did the same thing to I Wish I Win. While I do think she is better suited to 1400m, the Empire Rose seems like a must. She would not look terribly out of place in an Everest though (4th-8th range I'd say) but they have Entriviere for that if they want. Maybe even have a crack at the Golden Eagle.


Betting Summary

Caul R4: Boxed Tri 2,3,9,10 0.25 units (2nd, 7th, 10th, 11th)

Caul R5: Zamborghini 0.5 units win (9th)

Caul R7: Zouzarella 0.5 units place (8th)

Caul R9: Jimmy The Bear 1 unit win (3rd)

Rose R6: Fire 1 unit win (2nd)

Rose R8: Kibou 1 unit win (1st = Return: $70)

EF R1: Sweet Margot Mary 1.5 units win (1st = Return: $84)

Interesting that all of my speculative bets ran terribly and all of my more confident ones ran far better. Probably shows that I need to place smaller units on longer shots. At least this week was a winning week though.


Weekly Outlay: $115

Weekly Return: $154

Weekly Profit/Loss: +$39


Seasonal Outlay: $490

Seasonal Return: $342

Seasonal Profit/Loss: -$148

Seasonal ROI%: -30.2%


Tipping

Caulfield: 0/9 (5/36)[And I claim to be a good Melbourne tipster]

Randwick: 2/10 (5/40)


Lessons From Meet

- Smaller stakes on roughies

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